WHICH CRE PROPERTY TYPES WERE MORE IMPACTED BY COVID?

How the Labor Market Impacts Commercial Real Estate

  • Labor market recovery has been solid thus far – Regained ¾ of jobs lost during pandemic

  • Ongoing labor shortage persists with 2.5M person shortfall

    - Contributing factors: Low labor force participation, skills gap, dislocation issues, etc.

  • This hiring disconnect could weigh on economic outlook and stoke wage inflation

  • End of federal unemployment benefits and students returning to the classroom may ease some of the pressure, but unlikely to be substantial

  • Operations at Hotels, Seniors Housing and Retailers may face hiring and wage cost issues

  • Even Apartments and Self-Storage which rely less on human labor, will feel the pinch

  • Unexpected positive: Lack of qualified labor and high construction costs limiting new supply

  • As job creation picks up, demand for nearly every segment of CRE is poised to strengthen